Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005221 0.005774 0.006373 0.007072 0.007867 0.008748 0.009800
2025-07-20 0.004405 0.005182 0.006090 0.007238 0.008665 0.010396 0.012681
2025-07-27 0.003849 0.004709 0.005764 0.007173 0.009030 0.011432 0.014835
2025-08-03 0.003477 0.004387 0.005549 0.007169 0.009412 0.012474 0.017090
2025-08-10 0.003160 0.004089 0.005315 0.007087 0.009645 0.013304 0.019131
2025-08-17 0.002946 0.003900 0.005197 0.007134 0.010041 0.014387 0.021683
2025-08-24 0.002727 0.003681 0.005010 0.007053 0.010225 0.015157 0.023839
2025-08-31 0.002501 0.003431 0.004753 0.006837 0.010167 0.015524 0.025359
2025-09-07 0.002358 0.003287 0.004638 0.006819 0.010409 0.016395 0.027882
2025-09-14 0.002291 0.003249 0.004672 0.007034 0.011048 0.018007 0.032040
2025-09-21 0.002148 0.003086 0.004503 0.006902 0.011084 0.018554 0.034221
2025-09-28 0.002019 0.002935 0.004341 0.006765 0.011091 0.019045 0.036361
2025-10-05 0.001922 0.002832 0.004254 0.006761 0.011356 0.020096 0.040001
2025-10-12 0.001864 0.002787 0.004260 0.006918 0.011942 0.021870 0.045686
2025-10-19 0.001770 0.002678 0.004149 0.006857 0.012102 0.022798 0.049595
2025-10-26 0.001694 0.002594 0.004074 0.006853 0.012371 0.023993 0.054450
2025-11-02 0.001613 0.002495 0.003966 0.006776 0.012482 0.024854 0.058643
2025-11-09 0.001558 0.002437 0.003924 0.006820 0.012846 0.026340 0.064950
2025-11-16 0.001488 0.002349 0.003825 0.006743 0.012945 0.027221 0.069756
2025-11-23 0.001404 0.002233 0.003667 0.006539 0.012743 0.027343 0.072297
2025-11-30 0.001353 0.002172 0.003606 0.006521 0.012953 0.028524 0.078550
2025-12-07 0.001337 0.002169 0.003651 0.006725 0.013690 0.031181 0.090616
2025-12-14 0.001277 0.002087 0.003543 0.006600 0.013647 0.031759 0.095575